Description

This analysis provides a forecast of FET prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-11 0.205223 0.238967 0.275920 0.319310 0.368776 0.423326 0.487950
2026-01-18 0.150345 0.196578 0.252554 0.324910 0.415514 0.524733 0.665822
2026-01-25 0.117689 0.168117 0.233976 0.325402 0.447990 0.605498 0.821791
2026-02-01 0.094636 0.145717 0.216816 0.321527 0.470002 0.670851 0.960448
2026-02-08 0.077609 0.127793 0.201705 0.316351 0.486990 0.728243 1.090817
2026-02-15 0.063071 0.110619 0.184440 0.304564 0.491459 0.766475 1.195463
2026-02-22 0.057565 0.106515 0.185968 0.320533 0.537718 0.867968 1.398983
2026-03-01 0.048405 0.094685 0.173329 0.312086 0.544523 0.909838 1.515332
2026-03-08 0.040519 0.083681 0.160359 0.301078 0.545313 0.941370 1.616834
2026-03-15 0.034676 0.075401 0.150852 0.294513 0.552209 0.982332 1.735363
2026-03-22 0.031351 0.071405 0.148447 0.300012 0.579896 1.059008 1.917166
2026-03-29 0.029298 0.069623 0.149887 0.312532 0.620829 1.160652 2.147410
2026-04-05 0.026747 0.066476 0.148442 0.319741 0.653358 1.251298 2.367345
2026-04-12 0.024037 0.062540 0.144927 0.322555 0.678026 1.330138 2.572797
2026-04-19 0.021450 0.058417 0.140425 0.322745 0.697435 1.400549 2.767593
2026-04-26 0.018881 0.053860 0.134344 0.318866 0.708272 1.455607 2.937762
2026-05-03 0.016565 0.049494 0.128057 0.313726 0.715874 1.504768 3.099819
2026-05-10 0.014142 0.044370 0.119286 0.302027 0.708638 1.524514 3.207099
2026-05-17 0.013637 0.044346 0.122591 0.317877 0.760910 1.664389 3.554180
2026-05-24 0.011860 0.040403 0.115773 0.309493 0.759994 1.697816 3.694907
2026-05-31 0.010195 0.036430 0.108283 0.298567 0.752291 1.716586 3.807249
2026-06-07 0.008940 0.033434 0.102884 0.292052 0.753805 1.754293 3.959885
2026-06-14 0.008308 0.032291 0.102297 0.297509 0.783386 1.853092 4.243925